In
the analysis of yet another underwhelming Chelsea result and performance at
Wolves on Christmas Eve, one statistic was particularly eye-catching.
In 2023, no Premier League side has lost more than Chelsea's 19 matches in
the top flight. Indeed, only three teams in Europe's top five leagues -
Almeria, Werder Bremen and Empoli - can beat that number.
But unlike Chelsea, that trio are not five-time Premier League winners and
have not spent more than £1bn on new players in the past three transfer
windows.
For Chelsea to find themselves in this position, closer to the relegation
zone than the top four, is remarkable. Mauricio Pochettino projects
positivity but can he genuinely return Chelsea to Europe, or is mid-table
the Blues' new reality?
Where's the No 9?
Any analysis of Chelsea's struggles inevitably has to start in attack. The
Blues have missed 36 of their 57 big chances in the Premier League this
season - the worst record in the league.
What's more, only Manchester United have a larger negative differential
between their expected goals and goals scored than Chelsea's -6.8.
The need for a proven No 9 is obvious yet, despite their record outlay in
the transfer market, Chelsea's strikers are Nicolas Jackson and Armando
Broja.
Until April, Jackson had scored two top-flight goals in his entire career.
Broja has started seven games for Chelsea.
The fact the club have spent so much money yet failed to properly address
the most important area of the pitch is confounding. As Jamie Redknapp said,
it's hard to take them seriously until they rectify their issues at No 9.
Money well spent?
Chelsea's pivot towards investing in youth has been clear, with just three
of the 28 players they have signed since Todd Boehly and Behdad Eghbali's
takeover aged over 25 when they arrived.
That has inevitably led to Pochettino stressing the need for time. But he
has also stressed the need for Chelsea to once again become a club that
competes for trophies and, more than 18 months since the takeover, it's fair
to ask whether some of the players brought into the club are capable of
meeting those standards.
In fact, it's not unreasonable to suggest that, of the 28 players to have
signed, Cole Palmer - a player with three Premier League starts to his name
upon arrival - is the only one that could currently be graded as an
unqualified success.
Enzo Fernandez has had his moments but, nearly 12 months after arriving as a
World Cup winner for a club-record fee, Chelsea surely expected more than
three goals and three assists in 42 games.
It's now several seasons since Raheem Sterling produced the form that made
him a regular starter for Manchester City and England, while there is the
realistic possibility that Robert Sanchez will lose his status as No 1 to
Djordje Petrovic.
Axel Disasi, Benoit Badiashile and Marc Cucurella have failed to convince in
defence. In midfield, Moises Caicedo is yet to come close to replicating his
performances for Brighton, while Romeo Lavia has been prevented from even
making his debut due to injury.
It's a similar story in attack. Some supporters jeered Jackson when he was
replaced at Wolves after another unconvincing display, while Mykhailo Mudryk
has scored twice in 31 Premier League games.
The Ukraine international has failed to justify the hype - something that
could be said about most of those to arrive at Stamford Bridge in recent
time.
Chelsea's next five games
- Crystal Palace (H) - Premier League, Wednesday December 27, kick-off
7.30pm
- Luton (A) - Premier League, Saturday December 30, kick-off 12.30pm
- Preston (H) - FA Cup, Saturday January 6, kick-off 5.30pm
- Middlesbrough (A) - Carabao Cup, Tuesday January 9, kick-off 8pm
- Fulham (H) - Premier League, Saturday January 13, kick-off 12.30pm
Lack of discipline sums up leadership
issues
The obvious outcome of a club investing heavily in youth is that they end up
with a squad lacking in experience.
Chelsea's squad contains just three outfield players - Thiago Silva, Ben
Chilwell and Sterling - aged over 26. Again, this appears to be an issue
that is hampering Pochettino's project.
Surprisingly, Chelsea are the only Premier League side not to have been
losing any game at half-time this season. Yet they have lost 44 per cent of
their matches. That repeated capacity to collapse points to an inability to
manage games.
Pochettino's side also rank second in the top flight for yellow cards,
collecting an average of 3.2 per match. Of the six they collected at Wolves,
four were given for dissent or diving.
Jackson's disciplinary woes have been the most obvious, with five of the
forward's eight bookings being handed out for dissent, while Sterling has
received yellow cards for simulation in each of his last two games.
The ill-discipline is a symptom of Chelsea's lack of leadership.
Will Pochettino get what he wants in
January?
With just two wins - one of which was on penalties - in their last five
games, and with the January window just days away, talk has again turned to
the possibility of further signings at Stamford Bridge.
But here, too, lies trouble. Chelsea's transfer business is overseen by
Laurence Stewart and Paul Winstanley, the co-sporting directors - a
situation Pochettino said he "accepted" when he took over.
Yet the manager has already called to be given greater influence over
recruitment and responded to this month's defeat at Everton by encouraging
the club to invest further in January, saying his squad was "missing
something".
Whether Pochettino's demands are met by Chelsea remains to be seen. The
then-Tottenham boss was similarly keen for signings in the summer of 2019,
believing the squad that reached the Champions League final needed to be
refreshed.
The desired overhaul never materialised and Pochettino was sacked just
months into the following season.
A similar scenario seems unlikely at Chelsea but the Conor Gallagher
situation will be an intriguing case study. The England international is a
regular in Pochettino's team and often wears the captain's armband in the
absence of Reece James and Chilwell.
Pochettino told Sky Sports this month Gallagher is "a player that we count
on," adding: "He's in our plan."
Yet there appears little sign of the 23-year-old agreeing an extension to
his contract, which has just 18 months still to run. In fact, Chelsea are
reportedly open to his departure, given a sizeable transfer fee would help
to offset their heavy spending.
It's hard to imagine Pochettino responding favourably were Gallagher to be
sold despite his desire to retain the academy graduate.
Mid-table malaise has set in
Chelsea were reigning world champions when Boehly and Eghbali arrived, while
they had only been dethroned as European champions just days earlier.
Yet after unprecedented spending, Chelsea finished 12th last season and
remain in the bottom half midway through this campaign.
The west Londoners are long past the point of being able to cast their
struggles as teething problems, or a blip.
A malaise has set in and Chelsea have spent the past 12 months cut adrift
from Manchester City, Liverpool and Arsenal - the sides they used to see as
their peers.
The longer that goes on, the harder it will be to catch up.
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