
With
Romelu Lukaku set for a big-money return to Chelsea, we look at whether the
Everton striker is ready to lead the line for the Premier League champions.
Romelu Lukaku has never been short of confidence in his own ability. But
then, what would you expect from a player who has been scoring goals freely
at the top level since he was 16 years old?
The Belgian won the golden boot in his home country in his first full season
as a pro, finding the net 15 times as Anderlecht won the title in 2009/10
and scoring four times in Champions League qualifying.
While most players his age were still making their way in youth football,
Lukaku had 33 goals in just 73 league appearances for Anderlecht when
Chelsea paid £10m to sign him in August 2011.
After a season in the Blues' reserves, Lukaku showed off his goal-scoring
ability in the Premier League, hitting the net 17 times during a loan spell
with West Bromwich Albion before improving his strike rate at Everton, where
he scored 15 goals in 31 games to take Roberto Martinez's side to a
fifth-place finish.
Barely 21, Lukaku's stunning start to his football career had made him one
of the hottest young talents in Europe. He believed he was ready for the
next step. For more responsibility at Chelsea.
But Jose Mourinho, who had seen the striker miss a decisive penalty in the
Super Cup defeat to Bayern Munich in the summer of 2013, wasn't convinced.
With Diego Costa signed and Didier Drogba returning, Lukaku was down the
pecking order.
"He wanted to play for Chelsea but he clearly wanted to be first-choice
striker," the manager said at the time. "For a club of our dimension it is
very difficult to promise to a player." Everton seized the opportunity,
spending a club record £28m to bring Lukaku to Goodison Park on a permanent
basis.
Upon Lukaku's arrival, boss Roberto Martinez declared the signing as "a big
moment in Everton's history". It was the reception Lukaku wanted and, over
the past three seasons, he's revelled in his leading role.
Lukaku has been the club's top scorer every year he's been there, has twice
broken the record for goals scored by an Everton player in a Premier League
season, and become the Toffees' top scorer in the Premier League era.
Lukaku joined Robbie Fowler, Michael Owen and Wayne Rooney in an elite group
of players to have scored over 80 Premier League goals before their 24th
birthday, while only Tottenham's Harry Kane outscored in him in the top
flight in 2016/17. It's no wonder Chelsea are eager to get him back.
But, with Costa seemingly on his way out, is Lukaku really ready to lead the
line for the Premier League champions, as they aim to defend their title and
target Champions League glory? There are still some questions marks.
Lukaku will point to his stats from the season just gone. He outscored
Costa, as he did in 2015/16, took a greater proportion of his clear-cut
chances, and created opportunities for his team-mates more frequently.
But his record of one goal every 622 minutes against the Premier League's
top six sides is a recurring criticism, while there are doubts about whether
Lukaku can fit into the intense style Antonio Conte has cultivated at
Chelsea.
Lukaku's running numbers don't make impressive reading. No striker to have
played more than 1000 minutes last season averaged less than his 8.84km per
game, while his 44.77 sprints per match put him 42nd out of 48 forwards.
Costa's average distance covered placed him in the lower third of those
standings, too - but he averaged 18 more sprints per game than Lukaku, for
the 14th best figure among those regular forwards.
Lukaku & Costa running stats v Premier League 2016/17 forwards (min 1,000
mins)
Distance covered/game
Sprints/game
Romelu Lukaku 8.84km (rank: 48/48)
44.77 (rank: 42/48)
Diego Costa 9.75km
(rank: 35/48) 62.73 (rank:
14/48)
If Conte wants Lukaku to press from the front like Costa has done, he'll
have to change his game. Sixty-five forwards made an interception last
season. Lukaku wasn't one of them. Sixteen players made more than his nine
tackles. Costa, in contrast, ranked in the top seven in both of those
metrics.
Harrying opposition defenders? Working the channels? Holding the ball up and
bringing others into play? They're not strengths associated with Lukaku, who
completed just 66 per cent of his attempted passes last season.
Of course, Lukaku's primary role isn't about defending. He's a goal-getter.
But those numbers underline the fact he will have to adapt at Chelsea if he
is going to replace Costa. He must find a way to affect the game even when
he's not scoring.
"One of my big criticisms of him is when he doesn't score sometimes you
don't see him," said Sky Sports pundit Jamie Carragher, who believes Lukaku
should study the performances of former Chelsea hero Drogba.
"With Lukaku you can't help but draw comparisons with Drogba because of his
size, power and pace. But Drogba could still be man of the match without
scoring. He could dominate a back four or two centre-backs.
"When Lukaku doesn't score I still feel he should be having a major impact
on the game and that's something going forward that he's got to do. Great
players don't just perform themselves, they affect other people.
"I think he's definitely got the potential to be world class with his
goal-scoring record. I just think if he could improve and become an
all-round player he'd be well on his way to getting there."
Lukaku would relish those Drogba comparisons, having previously said his aim
was to "be a legend" at Stamford Bridge. But he has work to do to prove to
his doubters he can seize his second opportunity to make his mark at
Chelsea.
The pressure will be on - but Lukaku will be confident of rising to the
challenge.